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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2020 at 9pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Eibar logo

Alaves
2 - 1
Eibar

Mendez (41'), Deyverson (45+2')
Mendez (38'), Battaglia (56'), Pina (62'), Laguardia (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leon (4')
Gil (81'), Arieta (88')

Preview: Alaves vs. Eibar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alaves and Eibar square off in La Liga on Wednesday evening with just one point separating the teams in the standings.

However, both teams suffered defeats at the weekend, leaving them within another setback of dropping into the relegation zone.


Match preview

Alaves manager Pablo Machin pictured in October 2020© Reuters

After their surprise win away at champions Real Madrid, Alaves would have expected to kick on in their following games as they bid to move away from trouble.

However, Babazorros have failed to score in their last three matches, restricting the club to just one point from fixtures against Real Sociedad, Huesca and Celta Vigo.

While Alaves remain outside of the relegation zone on goal difference, Pablo Machin will be concerned that his players are only raising their game against the bigger clubs.

Conceding just 16 goals in 14 matches is an excellent return for a club of their size, but none of this squad has netted more than three times at the other end in La Liga.

Finding the back of the net has also been a long-term issue for Eibar, with 10 goals the joint-worst return in Spain's top flight.

Possessing the third-best backline has ensured that Los Armeros currently sit outside of the bottom three, although there is now small margin for error for Jose Luis Mendilibar's squad.

To their credit, they have suffered just two defeats from 11 matches in all competitions, the most recent coming on Sunday as they lost out to Real Madrid by a 3-1 scoreline.

A second successive defeat would leave Eibar at risk of being in the relegation zone at the turn of the year, although Mendilibar may prefer to view this game as the perfect opportunity to make significant progress towards the top half of the table.

Alaves La Liga form: DDWDLL
Alaves form (all competitions): DWDLWL

Eibar La Liga form: DDWDDL
Eibar form (all competitions): DWDDWL


Team News

Eibar boss Jose Luis Mendilibar pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Eibar boss Mendilibar will be able to call upon Esteban Burgos after the defender completed his suspension.

Aside from Anaitz Arbilla reverting to left-back, the remainder of the starting XI could remain the same.

Alaves head coach Machin will be unable to select Rodrigo Ely, who suffered a knee issue at the weekend.

Victor Laguardia is likely to take his place in the middle of the backline.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Lejeune, Duarte; Jota, Pina, Battaglia, Rioja; Perez, Joselu

Eibar possible starting lineup:
Dmitrovic; Pozo, Burgos, Bigas, Arbilla; Inui, Exposito, Diop, Gil; Garcia, Muto


SM words green background

We say: Alaves 1-1 Eibar

Avoiding defeat will be the priority of these two teams on Wednesday evening and we feel that the respective managers will achieve their objectives. With neither side having much success in the final third, expect a low-scoring draw to be played out.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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