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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Scotland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Jun 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Ukraine national football team

Scotland
1 - 3
Ukraine

McGregor (79')
Dykes (45'), McGinn (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yarmolenko (33'), Yaremchuk (49'), Dovbyk (90+5')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')

The Match

Match Report

Ukraine record a 3-1 victory over Scotland in their World Cup playoff semi-final on an emotion-fuelled evening in Glasgow.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Scotland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

Last Six:
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Rep. Ireland vs. Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Ukraine

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Ukraine vs. Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
ScotlandDrawUkraine
50.02% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.77% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.94% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)37.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56%74.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 50.01%
    Ukraine 24.21%
    Draw 25.76%
ScotlandDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.01%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.21%

How you voted: Scotland vs Ukraine

Scotland
62.8%
Draw
13.4%
Ukraine
23.8%
382
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