Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
