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World Cup
Ethiopia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Burkina Faso national football team

Ethiopia
0 - 3
Burkina Faso


Yesuf (13'), Tilahun (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toure (69'), Traore (78' pen.), Ouattara (90')
Ouattara (71'), Ouedraogo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Burkina Faso

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Ethiopia 0-1 Burkina Faso

 Ethiopia will fancy their chances against a Burkina Faso side who have managed just one competitive win in 2023. However, the Stallions boast the firepower needed to get this one over the like and we are tipping them to come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 34.1%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 33.39% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 32.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a draw win was 0-0 with a probability of 18.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (13.19%) and 2-2 (2.38%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (15.68%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (15.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
EthiopiaDrawBurkina Faso
32.53% (-0.47 -0.47) 34.08% (0.126 0.13) 33.39% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 32.72% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.21% (-0.282 -0.28)75.78% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.28% (-0.1621 -0.16)90.72% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.88% (-0.541 -0.54)43.12% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.61% (-0.457 -0.46)79.39% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53% (0.079999999999998 0.08)42.47% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)78.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 32.53%
    Burkina Faso 33.38%
    Draw 34.08%
EthiopiaDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 32.53%
0-0 @ 18.31% (0.2 0.2)
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 34.08%
0-1 @ 15.68% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.72% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 33.38%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Burkina Faso

Ethiopia
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Burkina Faso
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2022 4pm
Group Stage
Burkina Faso
1-1
Ethiopia
Bayala (24')
Kebede (52' pen.)
Endashaw (36'), Kebede (74')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2013 6pm
Group Stage
Burkina Faso
4-0
Ethiopia
Traore, Kone, Pitroipa
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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