Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Guinea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Ethiopia
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.38%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ethiopia | Draw | Guinea |
50.28% ( 0.01) | 30.77% ( 0.11) | 18.95% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 31.95% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
27.18% ( -0.32) | 72.82% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
11.01% ( -0.19) | 88.99% ( 0.19) |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.78% ( -0.17) | 30.22% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.62% ( -0.2) | 66.38% ( 0.19) |
Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.78% ( -0.34) | 54.22% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.59% ( -0.21) | 87.41% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Ethiopia 50.27%
Guinea 18.94%
Draw 30.77%
Ethiopia | Draw | Guinea |
1-0 @ 19.6% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.27% | 0-0 @ 16.38% ( 0.19) 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 30.77% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.94% |
How you voted: Ethiopia vs Guinea
Ethiopia
57.1%Draw
21.4%Guinea
21.4%14
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 8.30pm
Guinea
2-0
Ethiopia
Yohannes (18'), Hamid (25'), Panomo (45')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 12:49:43
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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