Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
France Women5 - 1Italy Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: France Women 1-2 USA Women
Friday, June 28 at 8pm in Women's World Cup
Friday, June 28 at 8pm in Women's World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Italy Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belgium Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Italy Women 0-2 N'lands Women
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in Women's World Cup
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in Women's World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Italy Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belgium Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: France Women 2-1 Italy Women
Although Italy demonstrated against Spain that they can compete with the best in Europe, we think that they will come up just short against a France side that contains a number of quality players that could help them reach the latter stages of the tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Italy Women had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.71%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Italy Women win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France Women | Draw | Italy Women |
46.24% ( 0) | 21.44% ( -0.03) | 32.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 69.98% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
