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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Apr 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Aberystwyth

Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
70.96%18.2%10.84%
Both teams to score 45.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09%44.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73%67.27%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63%11.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9%36.1%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.96%49.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.02%83.98%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 70.95%
    Aberystwyth Town 10.84%
    Draw 18.2%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 13.18%
1-0 @ 12.12%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 6.81%
4-0 @ 5.19%
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 70.95%
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.2%
0-1 @ 3.97%
1-2 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 10.84%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-2
Aberystwyth
Bickerstaff (84'), Bradley (88')
Kenny (52'), (54'), (89'), (90+4'), (90+5')
Owen (40'), Jenkins (90+5')
Williams (44'), Owen (78')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Caernarfon
Williams (88')
Davies (49'), Hewitt (64'), Bradford (90+2'), Rimmer (90+4')
Kenny (21'), Thomas (44')
Hayes (74'), Thomas (83')
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-3
Aberystwyth

Clark (58'), Evans (62'), Jones (76'), Edwards (77')
Williams (34', 71', 80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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