Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Mar 20, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue
Aberystwyth1 - 0Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
31.42% | 23.89% | 44.69% |
Both teams to score 60.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.23% | 41.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.83% | 64.17% |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% | 25.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% | 60.56% |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.07% | 18.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.56% | 50.44% |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 31.42%
Newtown AFC 44.69%
Draw 23.88%
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
2-1 @ 7.48% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.36% Total : 44.69% |
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
1-1
Aberystwyth
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Jones (84' pen.)
Jenkins (10'), Vaz (37')
Jenkins (10'), Vaz (37')
Mwandwe (3'), Harry (90')
Fletcher (75'), Mitchell (82'), Sheridan (93')
Fletcher (75'), Mitchell (82'), Sheridan (93')
Dec 26, 2019 2.30pm
Dec 30, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
2-1
Aberystwyth
Mitchell (2'), Rushton (60')
Mills-Evans (15')
Mills-Evans (15')
Ahmadi (90')
Wollacott (93'), Baynes (93')
Wollacott (93'), Baynes (93')
Dec 26, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Aberystwyth
0-2
Newtown
Jones (30'), Walker (32')
Leslie (37' pen.), Rushton (62')
Phillips (55')
Phillips (55')
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