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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 0
Flint Town

Evans (90+3')
Cadwallader (74')
Cadwallader (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Owen (6'), Carroll (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
38.71% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05) 26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 35.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)50.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)72.21% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.44% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)60.27% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.015999999999991 0.02)27.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)62.87% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 38.71%
    Flint Town United 35.28%
    Draw 26%
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.28%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7.45pm
Flint Town
1-1
Aberystwyth
H (72')
Harrison (44')
Evans (37')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Flint Town
Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Hughes (81')
Harrison (43')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Flint Town
Bradford (65')
Jones (19'), Bradford (90+6')
Kenny (29', 69')
Harwood (3'), Kenny (20'), Maher (57')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-0
Aberystwyth
Jones (90+4')
Phillips (88')

Veale (37'), Franklin (61'), Zabret (78'), Jones (90+3'), Phillips (90+3')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-0
Aberystwyth

Maher (45+2'), Bratley (55'), Nash (59'), Hart (79'), Edwards (90+2'), Rushton (90+3')
Amis (45+4')

Franklin (34'), Kearney (43'), Jones (45+2'), Owen (79'), Jenkins (90+4')
Franklin (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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