Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional1 - 1Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenix 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, October 1 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, October 1 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
64
Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Albion
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
49.27% ( -1.99) | 27.99% ( 0.41) | 22.74% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 41.49% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.98% ( -0.06) | 63.02% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.52% ( -0.04) | 82.48% ( 0.04) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( -0.96) | 25.88% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( -1.32) | 60.86% ( 1.33) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.98% ( 1.61) | 44.02% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.86% ( 1.29) | 80.14% ( -1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional 49.26%
Defensor Sporting 22.74%
Draw 27.99%
Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.92% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.74% |
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Mar 8, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
2-1
Defensor
Milan (64')
Mallo (84'), Ivanov (90+4')
Mallo (84'), Ivanov (90+4')
Sep 11, 2020 12.15am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 06:45:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PenarolPenarol | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 32 |
2 | NacionalNacional | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
3 | ProgresoProgreso | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
4 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
5 | Boston RiverBoston River | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
7 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
10 | River PlateRiver Plate | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
11 | DanubioDanubio | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
12 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
13 | CerroCerro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
14 | Rampla JuniorsRampla | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
15 | Miramar Misiones | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
16 | FenixFenix | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
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