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Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 2
Porto


Ugarte (32'), Paulinho (63'), Goncalves (67'), Reis (90+6')
Paulinho (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')
Wendell (67'), Pepe (63'), Borges (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Porto

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Viseu
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-3 Porto

 We believe that this competition will be decided by which team is able to keep the tightest defence and be clinical with their opportunities in front of the goal. Therefore, we think that Sporting Lisbon will not win their third Taca da Liga trophy in a row and that Porto will come out victorious for the first time ever in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
34.71%27.27%38.01%
Both teams to score 49.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47%55.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29%76.71%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68%30.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5%66.5%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 34.71%
    Porto 38.01%
    Draw 27.27%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.01%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
17.9%
Porto
82.1%
56
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
Sep 11, 2021 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Porto
Santos (16')
Vinagre (3'), Paulinho (14'), Neto (39'), Porro (43'), Cabral (51'), Adan (90+2')
Diaz (71')
Costa (2'), Marcano (4'), Pepe (43'), Manafa (56'), Martinez (85')
Martinez (87')
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