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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Ramos (37', 64')
Otamendi (5'), Silva (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
Goncalves (45+3'), Trincao (46'), Ugarte (61'), St Juste (86'), Chermiti (88'), Chermiti (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varzim 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

With the disappointment from Sunday's defeat still lingering in the air, Sporting Lisbon will head into the weekend looking to make an immediate reaction. However, they take on a Benfica side who have been near impenetrable on home turf, where they have won each of their seven league matches this season. While we anticipate an end-to-end and thrilling contest, we predict that As Aguias will find a way and come out victorious in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
53.56% (1.333 1.33) 21.98% (0.058000000000003 0.06) 24.45% (-1.392 -1.39)
Both teams to score 61.34% (-1.772 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.14% (-1.659 -1.66)37.86% (1.658 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.88% (-1.795 -1.8)60.12% (1.794 1.79)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)14.23% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (-0.29 -0.29)41.97% (0.289 0.29)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-1.938 -1.94)28.48% (1.937 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-2.502 -2.5)64.25% (2.5 2.5)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 53.56%
    Sporting Lisbon 24.45%
    Draw 21.98%
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.574 0.57)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.523 0.52)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.314 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.141 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.315 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-1 @ 5.09% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
71.4%
Draw
15.6%
Sporting Lisbon
13.0%
77
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Benfica

Sarabia (13'), Paulinho (51')
Nunez (14'), Dias (90+2')
Everton (41'), Vertonghen (51'), Taarabt (75')
Jan 29, 2022 7.45pm
Final
Benfica
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Everton (23')
Vertonghen (53'), Everton (58'), Mario (90+2')
Inacio (49'), Sarabia (78')
Neto (31'), Paulinho (53'), Nunes (59'), Esgaio (77')
Dec 3, 2021 9.15pm
Benfica
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Pizzi (90+6')
Vertonghen (22'), Weigl (27'), Taarabt (89')
Sarabia (8'), Paulinho (62'), Nunes (68')
Feddal (1'), Paulinho (1'), Porro (20'), Sarabia (33'), Goncalves (45+3'), Esgaio (73')
May 15, 2021 6pm
Benfica
4-3
Sporting Lisbon
Seferovic (12', 49' pen.), Pizzi (29'), Verissimo (37')
Grimaldo (7'), Verissimo (38'), Otamendi (43'), Gabriel (57'), Tavares (87'), Nunez (90+2')
Goncalves (45+1', 77'), Santos (62')
Reis (31'), Mendes (57'), Mario (65'), Goncalves (90+2')
Feb 1, 2021 9.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Benfica
Nunes (90+2')
Tomas (15'), Neto (40'), Tabata (90+5')

Gilberto (13'), Weigl (16'), Otamendi (53'), Pizzi (75'), Gabriel (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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