Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
