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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Sari (7'), Buksa (13')
Sahin (7'), Sari (22'), Yehezkel (54'), Dadakdeniz (67'), Buksa (90+3')
Rakip (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yalcin (42')
Shukurov (6'), Yalcin (22'), Mercan (30'), Biraschi (57'), Rohden (75'), Ceccherini (90+2'), Sturaro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Antalyaspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Antalyaspor have a lot of belief at the moment, which can be seen in their recent results. The Scorpions also have a good home record this season, only losing to league leaders Fenerbahce. Karagumruk are also in a good moment, but their away form has been poor, picking up only five points from a possible 18. They also tend to struggle against Antalyaspor, failing to beat the hosts since 2021. We expect a close game; however, Antalyaspor have the quality to edge it out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
59.05% (0.20200000000001 0.2) 22.63% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 18.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)48.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.043000000000003 0.04)70.64% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.15499999999999 0.15)45.47% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.133 -0.13)40.36% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.121 -0.12)76.98% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 59.05%
    Fatih Karagumruk 18.32%
    Draw 22.62%
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.05%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Antalyaspor
4-2
Karagumruk
Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Antalyaspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor
Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')
Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216


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