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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Tadic (48' pen., 58')
Crespo (45+2'), Szymanski (68'), Tadic (87'), Akaydin (90+6'), Under (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keles (39')
Ceccherini (34'), Dituro (47'), Mercan (56'), Dresevic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Fenerbahce have suffered a slump in form of late but they boast the firepower needed to turn things around this weekend. While we expect Karagumruk to put up a fight, we predict the hosts will come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
67.35% (-0.489 -0.49) 18.21% (0.342 0.34) 14.44% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.901 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (-1.334 -1.33)35.79% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (-1.488 -1.49)57.87% (1.491 1.49)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)9.79% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (-1.11 -1.11)32.53% (1.115 1.12)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (-0.667 -0.67)37.42% (0.67 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (-0.662 -0.66)74.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 67.35%
    Fatih Karagumruk 14.44%
    Draw 18.21%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.387 0.39)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.35%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.21%
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.44%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk

Fenerbahce
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ozdoyev (24')
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
0-0
Karagumruk
Kahveci (61'), Sangare (71'), Tisserand (84'), Osayi-Samuel (89')
Bekaroglu (14'), Borini (85')
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Borini (67')
Campi (90')
Thiam (19'), Valencia (53')
Erkin (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216


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