Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.68%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match.
