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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
2 - 1
AC Milan

Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Schuurs (24'), Buongiorno (30'), Juric (68'), Juric (70'), Pellegri (71'), Linetty (87'), Lukic (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messias (67')
Kalulu (35'), Pobega (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Torino
Sunday, October 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 1-2 AC Milan

Torino can finally end their scoring drought against Milan, but that may not prove enough to avoid defeat on Sunday evening. Even with a number of injuries still diminishing his options, Stefano Pioli has slowly built a Milan squad that features enough quality on the bench to make the difference when required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
23.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.31% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)51.71% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)73.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)36.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)73.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.15% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 23.71%
    AC Milan 51.31%
    Draw 24.97%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03%
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.31%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
12.0%
Draw
7.7%
AC Milan
80.4%
209
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Torino
AC Milan win 5-4 on penalties

Donnarumma (72'), Tonali (85'), Kessie (112')
Donnarumma (73')

Rincon (27'), Linetty (29'), Zaza (46'), Lukic (101'), Lyanco (115'), Gojak (118')
Jan 9, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Torino
Leao (25'), Kessie (36' pen.)
Pioli (24'), Diaz (38'), Romagnoli (41'), Tonali (45+1'), Dalot (65'), Leao (80'), Calabria (85')

Rincon (26'), Segre (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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