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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Atalanta logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Atalanta

Gyasi (8'), N'Zola (31')
Kiwior (49'), Ampadu (56'), Nikolaou (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hojlund (77'), Pasalic (90+2')
Lookman (45+7'), Zappacosta (58'), Koopmeiners (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Spezia
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC

Although Spezia head into this fixture in far better form than their more illustrious opponents, the break came at the wrong time for the home side. Atalanta have had chance to reset, and we feel that the visitors will come through this game with a hard-earned win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
19.84% (1.83 1.83) 22.22% (1.246 1.25) 57.94% (-3.077 -3.08)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.863 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (-2.754 -2.75)44.59% (2.752 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (-2.718 -2.72)66.96% (2.716 2.72)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (0.367 0.37)36.42% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.369 0.37)73.21% (-0.369 -0.37)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (-1.861 -1.86)15.11% (1.859 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (-3.632 -3.63)43.66% (3.631 3.63)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 19.84%
    Atalanta BC 57.93%
    Draw 22.22%
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.683 0.68)
2-1 @ 5.31% (0.379 0.38)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.37 0.37)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.84%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.649 0.65)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.629 0.63)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.539 0.54)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.455 -0.46)
0-3 @ 6.19% (-0.517 -0.52)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-4 @ 2.93% (-0.465 -0.47)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.264 -0.26)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.93%

How you voted: Spezia vs Atalanta

Spezia
16.5%
Draw
9.9%
Atalanta BC
73.6%
91
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
1-3
Atalanta
Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta

Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')

Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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