Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
