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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Udinese logo

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
Mancini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereyra (35'), Success (40'), Ehizibue (45+4'), Thauvin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Roma
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Monza
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese

While Roma have failed to win any of the last nine league games in which they have conceded at least once, keeping another clean sheet on Sunday would avert that problem. Even if they make a handful of changes, the capital club can help themselves to a slice of revenge against Udinese as they secure success by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawUdinese
57.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.85% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.058 0.06)51.55% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.052999999999997 0.05)73.35% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)48.31% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.53% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.064999999999998 0.06)78.02% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 57.57%
    Udinese 18.85%
    Draw 23.57%
RomaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.57%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Roma vs Udinese

Roma
68.1%
Draw
15.3%
Udinese
16.7%
72
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')

Dybala (45')
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
Sep 23, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2021 11.30am
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Veretout (5', 25' pen.), Pedro (90+3')
Pellegrini (56'), Veretout (71')
Oct 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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