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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 1
Roma


Schuurs (7'), Gineitis (78'), Milinkovic-Savic (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dybala (8' pen.)
El Shaarawy (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

The input of two tactically astute coaches is likely to result in a low-scoring game, with perhaps a single goal deciding the outcome. While the distraction of a European quarter-final looms large, Roma are back to full strength and boast more individual ability up front, so three more points could be coming their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.22% (-0.228 -0.23) 29.14% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 35.64% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7% (-0.194 -0.19)62.29% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (-0.142 -0.14)81.95% (0.143 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.252 -0.25)33.44% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.278 -0.28)70.07% (0.279 0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.012 0.01)33.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.21%
    Roma 35.64%
    Draw 29.13%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
23.3%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
63.0%
73
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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