Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Lazio |
37.24% | 26.91% | 35.85% |
Both teams to score 51.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.98% | 54.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% | 75.45% |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% | 28.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% | 64.73% |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |