Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Parma |
44.66% | 23.84% | 31.49% |
Both teams to score 60.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.49% | 41.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.09% | 63.91% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% | 18.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% | 50.29% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% | 25.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% | 60.32% |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Parma |
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |