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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Juventus logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Juventus


Ceesay (59'), Pongracic (71'), Di Francesco (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12'), Cuadrado (17'), Milik (23'), Gatti (29'), Iling (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 0-1 Juventus

Only Lazio have kept more clean sheets than Juve's six in Serie A this season; Lecce are one of two sides yet to post a single shutout. Therefore, even if the visitors experience a Champions League hangover, they can score at least once at Via del Mare - if only from a set piece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
LecceDrawJuventus
39.54% (-0.133 -0.13) 25.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 34.57% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (0.149 0.15)49.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (0.134 0.13)71.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.16999999999999 0.17)27.65% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.219 0.22)63.19% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 39.54%
    Juventus 34.57%
    Draw 25.89%
LecceDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.57%

How you voted: Lecce vs Juventus

Lecce
12.0%
Draw
17.1%
Juventus
70.9%
117
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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