Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
48.73% ( -0.16) | 25.74% ( 0.06) | 25.53% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.76% ( -0.15) | 53.23% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.2% ( -0.13) | 74.79% ( 0.13) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0.13) | 21.86% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% ( -0.2) | 55.1% ( 0.2) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.1% ( -0) | 35.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.32% ( -0) | 72.67% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.73% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 25.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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