Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
50.53% ( -0.28) | 23.78% ( 0.08) | 25.68% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.17) | 44.98% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -0.16) | 67.33% ( 0.16) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% ( -0.17) | 17.85% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.38% ( -0.29) | 48.62% ( 0.29) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.67% ( 0.07) | 31.32% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% ( 0.09) | 67.68% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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