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Serie A
Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Dzeko (56')
Dzeko (27'), Barella (84'), Dumfries (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Lorenzo (85'), Min-jae (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Inter Milan
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Napoli

 In their last 24 league games Inter have never drawn - posting 18 wins and six losses during that spell - but now would not be a bad time to start. Though they really need maximum points to start closing the gap to distant leaders Napoli, the visitors' potent attack cannot be kept quiet for a full 90 minutes and a point apiece will have to suffice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
42.47% (0.58499999999999 0.58) 22.73% (-0.323 -0.32) 34.8% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 65.9% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (1.541 1.54)34.93% (-1.544 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (1.699 1.7)56.91% (-1.703 -1.7)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.86799999999999 0.87)17.08% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (1.513 1.51)47.26% (-1.518 -1.52)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.568 0.57)20.52% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (0.895 0.9)53.02% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 42.47%
    Napoli 34.8%
    Draw 22.73%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.172 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.124 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.052 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.8%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan
29.1%
Draw
26.3%
Napoli
44.6%
213
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Insigne (7' pen.)
Insigne (37')
Dzeko (47')
Brozovic (60')
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Zielinski (17'), Mertens (78')
Osimhen (10'), Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (35')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Handanovic (36' og.)
Koulibaly (38'), Demme (80'), Politano (87'), Mertens (88'), Manolas (90+4')
Eriksen (55')
Darmian (63'), Hakimi (90+5')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')
Jul 28, 2020 8.45pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Napoli
D'Ambrosio (11'), Martinez (74')
Sanchez (22'), Brozovic (45+4'), Barella (55'), Biraghi (76')

Lozano (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815
> Serie A Full Table


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