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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 1-3 Inter Milan

Empoli can get off the mark with an overdue goal this weekend, though even if they end their drought Inter simply boast too much firepower for them to handle. A change of management may eventually have some effect on the Azzurri's ailing fortunes, but their Milanese counterparts will take charge of proceedings in Sunday's early kickoff and post a fifth league win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
15.84% (0.02 0.02) 21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 62.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.137 0.14)49.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.125 0.13)71.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (0.106 0.11)43.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09)79.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)43.8% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.84%
    Inter Milan 62.36%
    Draw 21.78%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
8.8%
Draw
5.9%
Inter Milan
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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