Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Salernitana |
47.08% ( 3.87) | 26.89% ( 0.32) | 26.02% ( -4.19) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( -3.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% ( -3.3) | 57.19% ( 3.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% ( -2.7) | 78.04% ( 2.7) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0.43) | 24.31% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 0.61) | 58.69% ( -0.6) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( -5.08) | 37.64% ( 5.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -5.33) | 74.41% ( 5.33) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1.69) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.29) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.64) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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