Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
59.53% ( 0.73) | 22.28% ( 0.19) | 18.19% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -2.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.73% ( -2.18) | 47.27% ( 2.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% ( -2.05) | 69.5% ( 2.06) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( -0.5) | 15.49% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% ( -0.94) | 44.39% ( 0.94) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.21% ( -2.3) | 39.79% ( 2.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.54% ( -2.18) | 76.46% ( 2.18) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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