Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Venezia |
70.7% | 18.03% | 11.26% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% | 43.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% | 65.41% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% | 10.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.91% | 35.09% |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.96% | 47.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.48% | 82.51% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Venezia |
2-0 @ 12.59% 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 2.28% 5-1 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.77% Total : 70.69% | 1-1 @ 8.58% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.03% | 0-1 @ 3.87% 1-2 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.8% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |