Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
El Molinon
Garcia Carrasco (36'), Mecerreyes Campal (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Sporting Gijon 1-3 Las Palmas
Gijon have certainly performed impressively in recent weeks to climb away from the threat of relegation, but they face an in-form Las Palmas side desperate for three points to book a playoff place, and we see the visitors prevailing as a result.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Las Palmas.
| Result |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Las Palmas |
34% ( 0.46) | 27.41% ( -0.09) | 38.59% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.34) |
