Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Edinburgh City |
66.17% ( 0.33) | 19.33% ( -0.17) | 14.5% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.94% ( 0.42) | 41.06% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.55% ( 0.43) | 63.45% ( -0.42) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.44% ( 0.21) | 11.56% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.5% ( 0.45) | 36.5% ( -0.45) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.31% ( 0.04) | 40.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% ( 0.04) | 77.28% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.82% Total : 66.15% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.34% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |