Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
27.57% ( 0.14) | 25.78% ( 0.04) | 46.65% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.6% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( -0.06) | 52.06% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( -0.05) | 73.79% ( 0.05) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% ( 0.08) | 33.59% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( 0.09) | 70.24% ( -0.08) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.1) | 22.3% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( -0.16) | 55.77% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |