Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs
Elgin2 - 1Drumchapel Utd
Lawrence (22'), Hester (64')
Antoniazzi (21')
Antoniazzi (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McLaren (18')
Finnigan (36'), McLaren (76'), McInally (90+3')
Finnigan (36'), McLaren (76'), McInally (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Elgin City and Drumchapel United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Annan
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
35
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Stirling | 39 | 2.17 | Carrick |
| 2 | Elgin | 35 | 1.75 | Hester |
| 3 | Annan | 34 | 1.62 | Goss |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 33 | 1.65 | Yates |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 32 | 1.68 | Byrne |
| 6 | Stranraer | 31 | 1.48 | Hilton |
| 7 | East Fife | 30 | 1.43 | Trouten |
| 8 | Albion Rovers | 26 | 1.30 | Reilly |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 23 | 1.15 | Martyniuk |
| 10 | Forfar | 22 | 1.10 | Armour |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Drumchapel United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Drumchapel United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elgin City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Drumchapel United |
52.51% ( 0.64) | 23.15% ( 0.15) | 24.34% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
