Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Morton3 - 1Montrose
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Montrose |
| 41.72% | 25.77% | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score 54.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
