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[monks data]
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Salt Lake
1 - 2
Earthquakes

Yovani Mendez Rubin (43')
Kreilach (1'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (50'), Besler (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wondolowski (83', 87')
Remedi (21')

Preview: Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes meet in the MLS on Friday evening with the opportunity to move into first place in the Western Conference.

While the two teams are level on six points, the visitors have played a game more than their unbeaten opponents.


Match preview

Real Salt Lake head coach Freddy Juarez, directs his team during the first half against the New York Red Bulls at Rio Tinto Stadium pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Having finished in 21st position in the MLS last season, few people were expecting much from Real Salt Lake during the early stages of the new campaign.

However, successive victories over Minnesota United and Sporting Kansas City have given Freddy Juarez and his side something to build on over the coming weeks.

The Claret and Cobalt came from behind to win their most recent fixture by a 3-1 scoreline, with two goals coming from Rubio Rubin.

Also chipping in with two assists in just 157 minutes of action, the 25-year-old's impact during the opening games has arguably only been bettered by Javier Hernandez at Los Angeles Galaxy.

While Salt Lake can move to the top of the standings with a game in hand, the Earthquakes will be equally confident of derailing the perfect start of their opponents.

Having succumbed to Houston Dynamo in their opening fixture, San Jose have since powered past Dallas and DC United by 3-1 and 4-1 scorelines respectively.

At a time when Salt Lake will be delighted with Rubin's performances, the Earthquakes will feel the same regarding the progression of teenager Cade Cowell.

The 17-year-old has contributed two goals and three assists, living up to his billing as the top prospect in the United States.

Matias Almeyda now has the difficult task of keeping expectation levels down to a minimum as his developing side attempt to become a permanent fixture at the right end of the table.

Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda during the second half against the Toronto FC at Earthquakes Stadium in February 2020© Reuters

Barring any late fitness issues, Almeyda is unlikely to make any alterations to the Earthquakes' starting lineup.

Chris Wondolowski is expected to feature among the replacements after serving his ban for a red card versus Dallas.

Andrew Brody is in line to start at right-back for Salt Lake after Aaron Herrera was withdrawn during the first half against Sporting KC.

Justin Meram is also an alternative on the flank as Anderson Julio is struggling with a hamstring injury.

Real Salt Lake possible starting lineup:
Ochoa; Brody, Glad, Silva, Toia; Besler, Ruiz; Rusnak, Kreilach, Meram; Rubin

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; Thompson, Jungwirth, Beason, Marie; Remedi, Yueill; Espinoza, Lopez, Fierro; Cowell


SM words green background

We say: Real Salt Lake 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes

Both teams have scored goals for fun during the early stages of the campaign and we feel that will continue on Friday evening.

While we make Salt Lake the marginal favourites, they may struggle to see out the game against opponents who have netted seven times in 180 minutes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Earthquakes

Real Salt Lake
50.0%
Draw
35.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
15.0%
20
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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