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PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
VVV-Venlo

PSV
4 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Max (35' pen.), Boscagli (49'), Gakpo (58'), Fein (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arias (22')

Preview: PSV Eindhoven vs. VVV-Venlo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and VVV-Venlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

PSV Eindhoven will be aiming to keep the pressure on Eredivisie leaders Ajax when they host struggling VVV-Venlo on Tuesday.

The second-placed Boeren are currently three points behind the Amsterdam giants, while VVV are just a point and a place above the bottom three.


Match preview

PSV Eindhoven players celebrate in October 2020© Reuters

PSV thrashed RKC Waalwijk 4-1 on Saturday evening, with goals coming from Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Ihattaren, Denzel Dumfries and Noni Madueke.

It continued their excellent start to the season under Roger Schmidt, as they have now won nine, drawn three and lost just one of their opening 13 Eredivisie games.

They have a perfect home record, winning all six of their matches at the Philips Stadion, scoring 14 times and only conceding twice.

While PSV have scored in every league game, they have kept only one clean sheet in their last five fixtures, which may give VVV-Venlo the tiniest slice of hope.

Despite their lowly position, Hans de Koning's side are in the top half for goals scored and have netted nine times in their last six matches.

Georgios Giakoumakis is the team's main goal threat and has scored 10 times in 13 games – only Danilo of FC Twente has been more prolific.

It is at the other end where the problem lies for VVV, as they have conceded the most goals in the Eredivisie (38), are yet to keep a clean sheet and famously lost 13-0 to Ajax in October.

VVV have lost their last three games, most recently at home to Twente, who beat them 2-1 on Saturday.

Their only away win this season came against bottom of the table side FC Emmen, and that was all the way back on the opening day of the campaign.

The 1-1 draw between PSV and VVV-Venlo last season was the first point that VVV had earned against the Boeren since 2011, while they have not beaten the Eindhoven outfit in their last 35 attempts since winning 2-0 in 1976.

PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie form: DWDWWW
PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions): WWDWWW

VVV-Venlo Eredivisie form: WLDLLL
VVV-Venlo form (all competitions): LDLLWL


Team News

PSV Eindhoven head coach Roger Schmidt pictured in October 2020© Reuters

PSV have named the same starting 11 in their last three games, and are unlikely to deter from that as they aim to continue their good form.

The likes of Noni Madueke and Joel Piroe will have to make do with a place on the bench despite having good impacts as substitutes in recent games.

Ryan Thomas, Armando Obispo and Erick Gutierrez are all edging closer to a first team return after respective injuries.

Zinedine Machach may come in for his first VVV-Venlo start in the Eredivisie since the end of October after featuring as a substitute in recent games.

Hans de Koning will still be without the injured Arjan Swinkels and Simon Janssen for the trip to the Philips Stadion.

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Dumfries, Teze, Boscagli, Max; Sangare, Rosario; Gotze, Ihattaren; Gakpo, Malen

VVV-Venlo possible starting lineup:
Kirschbaum; Pachonik, Kum, Schafer, Schmitz; Linthorst, Post, Machach; van Crooij; Arias, Giakoumakis


SM words green background

We say: PSV Eindhoven 4-0 VVV-Venlo

There is surely only one outcome in this game and that is a PSV win. Schmidt's side are in great form and are unstoppable at home, so the chances of a poor VVV-Venlo team getting a result here seem slim. The visitors just need to make sure that the result does not get embarrassing.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.


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PSV Eindhoven players celebrate in October 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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