Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.07% ( -0.08) | 24.83% ( 0) | 46.1% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.06) | 47.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.06) | 69.44% ( 0.06) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( -0.09) | 29.94% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( -0.11) | 66.04% ( 0.11) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0) | 20.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.01) | 53.05% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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