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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Gil Vicente logo

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Ronaldo (15'), Costinha (45+3')
Samaris (31'), Patrick (66'), Luiz (81'), Vitor (90+5'), Pantalon (90+7')
Oudrhiri (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ronaldo (61' og.)
Carvalho (17'), Aburjania (84'), Carlos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente have put together a fine run of form since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. However, Rio Ave have won their last two home matches and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. With that said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and hold out for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawGil Vicente
44.35% (0.944 0.94) 26.24% (-0.19 -0.19) 29.41% (-0.755 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (0.428 0.43)52.89% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (0.363 0.36)74.5% (-0.364 -0.36)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (0.651 0.65)23.74% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.927 0.93)57.87% (-0.927 -0.93)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.334 -0.33)32.62% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.374 -0.37)69.17% (0.37299999999999 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 44.34%
    Gil Vicente 29.41%
    Draw 26.23%
Rio AveDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente

Rio Ave
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Gil Vicente
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
Gil Vicente
2-2
Rio Ave
Navarro (80'), Costa (90+5')
Rodrigues (45+4'), Yakubu (71')
Yakubu (21')
Apr 3, 2021 6pm
Rio Ave
0-2
Gil Vicente

Augusto (6'), Geraldes (34')
Augusto (74')
Talocha (76' pen.), Lino (90+6')
Nogueira (38'), Lourency (57'), Silva (60')
Nov 29, 2020 3pm
Jul 5, 2020 5pm
Gil Vicente
1-0
Rio Ave
Sam (39')
Banguera (2'), Fernandes (28'), Lima (80')
Fernandes (54')

Amaral (38'), Augusto (83')
Dec 9, 2019 8.15pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Gil Vicente
Taremi (61' pen.)
Borevkovic (13'), Reis (54'), Taremi (86')
Taremi (87')

Baraye (30'), Fonseca (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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