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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca

Estoril
1 - 2
Arouca

Guitane (3')
Marques (50'), Carlos (90+3'), Pina (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mujica (8'), Esgaio (45+1')
Santos (50'), Esgaio (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense
Saturday, January 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Monday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-0 Arouca

Estoril and Arouca have both stumbled into the new year and will be looking to end their run of three consecutive defeats. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we fancy the Canarinhos to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
38.24% (0.073 0.07) 25.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 36.52% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.8% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.032999999999998 0.03)69.06% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.12% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.076999999999998 0.08)58.42% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.05% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 38.24%
    Arouca 36.52%
    Draw 25.24%
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: Estoril vs Arouca

Estoril Praia
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Arouca
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
4-3
Estoril
Mujica (20'), Cristo (57'), Feltes (73' og.), Santos (90+6')
Esgaio (4'), Sylla (10'), Kouassi (21'), Santos (90+7')
Kouassi (37')
Holsgrove (10'), Marques (49'), Marques (70')
Holsgrove (41'), Gomes (90+10')
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Estoril
2-0
Arouca
Carvalho (68'), Cassiano (90+4')
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Arouca
2-0
Estoril
Dabbagh (28', 64')
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Estoril
1-2
Arouca
Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')
Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
0-2
Estoril

Andres Caballero (88')
Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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