Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
32.23% ( 0.03) | 27.83% ( 0.01) | 39.93% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.01) | 58.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.01) | 78.72% ( 0.01) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.73% ( 0.02) | 33.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.12% ( 0.02) | 69.88% ( -0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.03) | 28.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.03) | 64.16% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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