Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 6.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
77.43% | 15.58% | 6.99% |
Both teams to score 37.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% | 45.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% | 68.14% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.06% | 9.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.13% | 32.87% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.61% | 58.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.19% | 89.8% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 15.46% 1-0 @ 13.39% 3-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 8.32% 4-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 6.41% 4-1 @ 3.7% 5-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.54% Total : 77.42% | 1-1 @ 7.21% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 2.24% Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.58% | 0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 1.93% Total : 6.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |