Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 20, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses2 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Nacional |
| 32.65% | 29.53% | 37.81% |
| Both teams to score 43.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
