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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 20, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
Aston Villa logo

West Brom
0 - 3
Aston Villa


Grant (62')
Livermore (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Ghazi (5', 88' pen.), Traore (84')
Hause (40'), Mings (66')

The Match

Match Report

Anwar El Ghazi scored twice in a comfortable derby win as Jake Livermore was sent off.

Team News

The Brazilian winger completes a three-match ban.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Bromwich Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
33.89%25.34%40.77%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 33.89%
    Aston Villa 40.77%
    Draw 25.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.89%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.77%

How you voted: West Brom vs Aston Villa

West Bromwich Albion
25.3%
Draw
9.6%
Aston Villa
65.1%
146
Head to Head
May 14, 2019 8pm
Semi-Finals
West Brom
1-0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa win 4-3 on penalties
May 11, 2019 12.30pm
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
0-2
West Brom

Mings (31'), Hause (38'), McGinn (51')
Robson-Kanu (41'), Rodriguez (45')
Holgate (29'), Barry (43')
Dec 7, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 21
West Brom
2-2
Aston Villa
Gayle (28'), Rodriguez (90')
Livermore (61'), Hegazy (63')
El Ghazi (12', 59')
Whelan (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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