Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
35.94% | 26.72% | 37.33% |
Both teams to score 51.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.74% | 53.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% | 74.8% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% | 28.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.8% | 64.19% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% | 27.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% | 63.15% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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