Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
25.61% ( -0.17) | 24.66% ( -0.02) | 49.72% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( -0.05) | 48.83% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.06% ( -0.05) | 70.93% ( 0.04) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.55% ( -0.17) | 33.45% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.92% ( -0.18) | 70.08% ( 0.17) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.05) | 19.66% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% ( 0.09) | 51.64% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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