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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
Leeds logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Leeds

Edouard (24'), Eze (76')
Doucoure (14'), Guehi (38'), Olise (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Struijk (10')
Struijk (50'), Kristensen (79'), Koch (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds United

With the pressure increasing on both managers when it comes to getting points on the board, they can ill-afford another setback here. With that in mind, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely result, one which will keep their tallies ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
45.97% (-0.879 -0.88) 25.34% (0.119 0.12) 28.69% (0.764 0.76)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)49.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)71.62% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.407 -0.41)21.58% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.631 -0.63)54.67% (0.636 0.64)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.54900000000001 0.55)31.44% (-0.545 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.628 0.63)67.82% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 45.96%
    Leeds United 28.69%
    Draw 25.33%
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.69%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Leeds

Crystal Palace
62.6%
Draw
19.2%
Leeds United
18.1%
265
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
Apr 25, 2022 8pm
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Leeds
1-0
Crystal Palace
Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
4-1
Leeds
Dann (12'), Eze (22'), Costa (42' og.), Ayew (70')
Bamford (27')
Cooper (49'), Klich (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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