Jagiellonia

4 - 1

Puszcza Niepolomice

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.