MX23RW : Monday, May 13 17:07:48| >> :600:4320530:4320530:
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Belgium national football team

Poland
0 - 1
Belgium


Zurkowski (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Batshuayi (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-1 Belgium

Poland will be determined to gain revenge on Belgium following their heavy defeat in the first meeting, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. A point would not be the worst result for either team, and a tight contest on Tuesday evening could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawBelgium
32.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 23.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 43.68% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)40.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)63.24% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)24.55% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.102 -0.1)59.02% (0.106 0.11)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.040000000000006 0.04)50.53% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Poland 32.52%
    Belgium 43.68%
    Draw 23.78%
PolandDrawBelgium
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Poland vs Belgium

Poland
31.6%
Draw
24.6%
Belgium
43.8%
256
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Belgium
6-1
Poland
Witsel (42'), De Bruyne (59'), Trossard (73', 80'), Dendoncker (83'), Openda (90+3')
Witsel (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!